Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.000153 0.000169 0.000186 0.000207 0.000229 0.000254 0.000282
2025-06-01 0.000120 0.000143 0.000169 0.000202 0.000243 0.000291 0.000354
2025-06-08 0.000099 0.000123 0.000154 0.000195 0.000249 0.000317 0.000412
2025-06-15 0.000088 0.000114 0.000149 0.000197 0.000265 0.000355 0.000489
2025-06-22 0.000080 0.000108 0.000146 0.000201 0.000282 0.000396 0.000575
2025-06-29 0.000071 0.000099 0.000138 0.000197 0.000286 0.000419 0.000636
2025-07-06 0.000063 0.000090 0.000128 0.000189 0.000283 0.000429 0.000679
2025-07-13 0.000058 0.000085 0.000125 0.000189 0.000293 0.000460 0.000759
2025-07-20 0.000055 0.000082 0.000123 0.000192 0.000307 0.000498 0.000855
2025-07-27 0.000051 0.000078 0.000119 0.000190 0.000313 0.000525 0.000934
2025-08-03 0.000048 0.000075 0.000118 0.000193 0.000327 0.000565 0.001045
2025-08-10 0.000045 0.000071 0.000114 0.000191 0.000331 0.000588 0.001125
2025-08-17 0.000042 0.000068 0.000110 0.000189 0.000336 0.000616 0.001222
2025-08-24 0.000039 0.000064 0.000106 0.000186 0.000341 0.000643 0.001324
2025-08-31 0.000036 0.000059 0.000100 0.000180 0.000337 0.000654 0.001393
2025-09-07 0.000034 0.000058 0.000099 0.000182 0.000350 0.000701 0.001554
2025-09-14 0.000033 0.000056 0.000099 0.000186 0.000367 0.000757 0.001746
2025-09-21 0.000030 0.000053 0.000095 0.000182 0.000367 0.000778 0.001855
2025-09-28 0.000028 0.000050 0.000090 0.000174 0.000359 0.000777 0.001907
2025-10-05 0.000027 0.000048 0.000088 0.000175 0.000368 0.000820 0.002085
2025-10-12 0.000026 0.000047 0.000088 0.000177 0.000382 0.000876 0.002310
2025-10-19 0.000024 0.000045 0.000086 0.000176 0.000388 0.000910 0.002481
2025-10-26 0.000024 0.000044 0.000085 0.000178 0.000402 0.000971 0.002746